Systematic analysis of banking sector vulnerability to geopolitical risks and events
Posted: Jul 27, 2023
Abstract
The global banking sector operates within an increasingly complex geopolitical landscape where traditional risk assessment frameworks demonstrate significant limitations. Conventional approaches to financial vulnerability analysis have predominantly focused on economic indicators, market fundamentals, and regulatory compliance metrics. However, the escalating frequency and intensity of geopolitical events—including trade disputes, sanctions regimes, regional conflicts, and diplomatic tensions—have exposed critical gaps in existing risk assessment methodologies. The interconnected nature of global financial systems means that geopolitical shocks can propagate through banking networks in unexpected ways, creating systemic vulnerabilities that transcend national boundaries and traditional risk categories. This research addresses the fundamental challenge of quantifying and predicting banking sector vulnerability to geopolitical risks through an innovative computational framework that integrates methods from quantum computing, complex systems theory, and political science.
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